Fig. 3
From: Inclusive health: modeling COVID-19 in correctional facilities and communities
Probability of major outbreaks and incarceration-to-community transmission. The probability that a single COVID-19 infected incarcerated person results in (a) an outbreak in a jail, (b) a community transmission event from the jail, (c) an outbreak in a state prison, or (d) a community transmission even from the state prison, when there is no quarantining and testing of incarcerated people (solid blue line), when testing occurs at 0.5 times the community rate (dashed black line), or when testing occurs at the same rate as the community (dotted red line)