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Table 2 Results of Decision Model and Sensitivity Analyses

From: Daily almond consumption in cardiovascular disease prevention via LDL-C change in the U.S. population: a cost-effectiveness analysis

 

Cost

($)

ΔC

($)

Outcome (QALYs)

ΔE (QALYs)

C/E

($/QALY)

ICER

($/QALY)

NMB

($)

Decision model

WTP = $50,000

 Non-almond

1524

Ref

0.94

Ref

1625

Dominated

45,373

 Almond

1161

−363

0.96

0.02

1211

 

46,794

WTP = $100,000

 Non-almond

1524

Ref

0.94

Ref

1625

Dominated

92,270

 Almond

1161

−363

0.96

0.02

1211

 

94,749

WTP = $200,000

 Non-almond

1524

Ref

0.94

Ref

1625

Dominated

186,064

 Almond

1161

−363

0.96

0.02

1211

 

190,658

Sensitivity–Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis

 Non-almond

1555 ± 59

Ref

0.94 ± 0.0005

Ref

1658 ± 63

 

45,333 ± 84

 Almond

1589 ± 417

34 ± 414

0.94 ± 0.02

0.005 ± 0.02

1694 ± 474

−26,798 ± 814,514

45,542 ± 1245

Sensitivity–10-year model

 Non-almond

20,871

Ref

8.13

Ref

2566

Dominated

385,788

 Almond

15,120

−5750

8.37

0.24

1806

 

403,377

Sensitivity–cost of procedure

 Non-almond

1524

Ref

0.94

Ref

1625

Dominated

45,373

 Almond

1161

−363

0.96

0.02

1210

 

46,794

Sensitivity–cost of almond

 Non-almond

1524

Ref

0.94

Ref

1625

Dominated

45,373

 Higher cost of almond

1474

−50

0.96

0.02

1537

 

46,480

Sensitivity–CVD patients

 Non-almond

1213

Ref

0.86

Ref

1411

Dominated

41,766

 Almond

1022

−190

0.86

0.0001

1189

 

41,962

  1. Abbreviations: C/E cost-effectiveness ratio, ICER incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, NMB net monetary benefit, QALY quality-adjusted life years, WTP willingness-to-pay