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Table 2 Models of the epidemic part ξi, t with assumptions made on interactions between the viruses with and without the climatic factors

From: Time series non-Gaussian Bayesian bivariate model applied to data on HMPV and RSV: a case of Dadaab in Kenya

Model

ξi, t  (with climatic factors)

ξi, t  (without climatic factors)

1

λyi, t − 1 + τi, kxk, t − 1

λy i, t − 1

2

\( {\lambda y}_{i,t-1}+\phi \sum \limits_{j\ne i}{w}_{ji}{y}_{j,t-1}+{\tau}_{i,k}{x}_{k,t-1} \)

\( {\lambda y}_{i,t-1}+\phi \sum \limits_{j\ne i}{w}_{ji}{y}_{j,t-1} \)

3

λiyi, t − 1 + τi, kxk, t − 1

λ i y i, t − 1

4

\( {\lambda}_i{y}_{i,t-1}+\sum \limits_{j\ne i}{w}_{ji}{\phi}_i{y}_{j,t-1}+{\tau}_{i,k}{x}_{k,t-1} \)

\( {\lambda}_i{y}_{i,t-1}+\sum \limits_{j\ne i}{w}_{ji}{\phi}_i{y}_{j,t-1} \)

5

λi, t − 1yi, t − 1 + τi, kxk, t − 1

λ i, t − 1 y i, t − 1

6

\( {\lambda}_{i,t-1}{y}_{i,t-1}+\sum \limits_{j\ne i}{w}_{ji}{\phi}_{i,t-1}{y}_{j,t-1}+{\tau}_{i,k}{x}_{k,t-1} \)

\( {\lambda}_{i,t-1}{y}_{i,t-1}+\sum \limits_{j\ne i}{w}_{ji}{\phi}_{i,t-1}{y}_{j,t-1} \)