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Table 1 Annual incidence of erythema migrans (EM) diagnoses per 100,000 inhabitants of the Netherlands for each survey year, predicted for varying response rates, and stratified for the GP practices that responded to 1 to 2, 3 to 4, or all 5 of our GP surveys

From: Decrease in tick bite consultations and stabilization of early Lyme borreliosis in the Netherlands in 2014 after 15 years of continuous increase

Survey year

1994

2001

2005

2009

2014

% Population coverage

88 %

68 %

71 %

65 %

62 %

Mean incidence of EM

38.6 (37.2–40.0)

74.3 (72.0–76.6)

103.8 (101.0–106.6)

133.9 (130.5–137.5)

139.6 (135.3–144.1)

Incidence of EM (and 95 % CI) per number of GP practices responding to 1 to 5 surveys:

1 to 2 surveys

39.0 (36.7–41.4)

72.3 (66.9–78.1)

112.9 (102.6–123.8)

131.7 (124.8–138.8)

133.7 (127.5–140.2)

3 to 4 surveys

38.3 (35.8–40.9)

77.9 (74.6–81.2)

102.0 (89.3–105.9)

136.6 (131.0–142.3)

137.7 (130.2–145.8)

5 surveys

38.5 (36.2–40.8)

73.0 (69.2–77.2)

104.0 (99.4–109.0)

132.3 (126.3–138.4)

150.6 (141.5–160.1)

Incidence of EM (and 95 % CI) among municipalities with population coverage:

60 % coverage

40.2 (32.5–49.0)

73.0 (67.6–78.8)

99.6 (91.4–108.8)

132.3 (123.5–142.7)

139.8 (129.1–152.0)

75 % coverage

39.5 (35.2–44.6)

76.3 (71.2–81.8)

104.5 (98.4–111.1)

135.7 (127.6–144.7)

141.0 (131.5–151.8)

90 % coverage

38.8 (36.4–41.5)

79.5 (71.2–88.5)

109.5 (101.2–118.0)

139.0 (127.8–150.7)

142.1 (129.7–155.9)