Table 2 Lay people's anticipations of fatalities and effect of Tamiflu® during a serious influenza epidemica
Absolute (baseline) risk (number of fatalities in a population of 4.6 mill) | Relative to the authorities' mortality predictionb | Proportion of respondents (n = 1168) |
|---|---|---|
0.0002% – 0.02% | Below | 48 % |
0.04% – 1.1% | Similar | 22 % |
2.2% – 22% | Above | 3 % |
Uncertain | 27 % | |
Relative risk reduction from Tamiflu ® | ||
< 50 % | 24 % | |
50 – 100% | 24 % | |
Inconsistent (ARRb > baseline risk) | 3 % | |
Uncertain | 48 % | |
Number needed to treat | ||
< 1000 | 9 % | |
> 1000 | 41 % | |
Inconsistent (ARRc>baseline risk) | 3 % | |
Uncertain | 47 % | |