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Table 1 Estimated excess mortality and percentage changes in deaths from different causes in Guangzhou, China from 21 January through 30 June 2020

From: Temporal dynamic in the impact of COVID− 19 outbreak on cause-specific mortality in Guangzhou, China

Cause of death

Excess mortality (95% eCI)

Percentage change

% (95% eCI)

All causes

-1051 (−1558, − 580)

− 4.1 (− 6.1, − 2.3)

Respiratory diseases

−1691 (− 1929, − 1459)

−37.4 (− 42.6, − 32.2)

 Pneumonia and influenza

−1383 (− 1595, − 1196)

−49.2 (− 56.7, − 42.6)

 Chronic lower respiratory diseases

−342 (− 474, − 223)

−22.1 (− 30.6, − 14.4)

Cardiovascular diseases

197 (−156, 516)

1.9 (− 1.5, 5.0)

 Hypertension

113 (16, 194)

14.5 (2.0, 24.8)

 Myocardial infarction

156 (4, 278)

8.6 (0.2, 15.4)

 Cerebrovascular diseases

13 (−189, 208)

0.3 (−4.5, 4.9)

Malignant neoplasms

80 (−180, 305)

1.3 (−2.8, 4.8)

 Malignant neoplasm of liver and intrahepatic bile dusts

7 (− 97, 93)

0.7 (−10.1, 9.7)

 Malignant neoplasm of the trachea, bronchus and lung

74 (−55, 184)

4.1 (−3.1, 10.2)

Diabetes mellitus

58 (−21, 124)

10.2 (−3.7, 22.0)

External causes

−6 (− 114, 88)

−0.5 (−9.2, 7.2)

 Transport accidents

−15 (−58, 15)

−8.8 (− 33.2, 8.3)

 Intentional self-harm

3 (−51, 39)

1.7 (−27.5, 21.1)

  1. Abbreviation: 95% eCI 95% Empirical confidence interval