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Table 6 Yearly alarms and ADD for the best performing model: the seasonal logistic random intercept model using ES-allavg data with l=7, Θ=0.20, interpolated missing values in the training data

From: Methods for detecting seasonal influenza epidemics using a school absenteeism surveillance system

School Year

False Alarms

True Alarms

ADD

2010–2011

0

1

13

2011–2012

8

1

14

2012–2013

0

0

55

2013–2014

1

1

14

2014–2015

0

4

3

2015–2016

0

1

14

2016–2017

0

8

0

2017–2018

0

3

8

  1. Mean FAR = 0.299, mean ADD = 15.13