Skip to main content

Table 2 Effect of behavioral uncertainty on HCV predictions of HIV epidemic scale by HCV/HIV epidemiological regime

From: HCV prevalence can predict HIV epidemic potential among people who inject drugs: mathematical modeling analysis

 

HCV prevalence (%)

Predicted HIV prevalence (%)

HIV prevalence prediction difference (%)a

 

Range

Range

Median

IQR

Regime I

<1

<1

N/A

N/A

Regime II

1–28

<1

0.1

0.0-0.3

Regime III

28–45

1–5

1.1

0.6-1.7

Regime IV

45–70

5–24

1.9

0.9-3.4

Regime V

70–80

24–42

1.9

0.9-3.8

Regime VI

>80

>42

1.7

0.8-3.9

All regimes

  

0.9

0.2-2.2

  1. IQR interquartile range
  2. a Difference between baseline prediction of HIV prevalence and prediction of HIV prevalence including behavioral uncertainty