Table 1 Smoking Prevalence Scenarios Modelled With Mortality Projections (study period 2012-13)
Scenario | Targeted Population | Change in smoking behaviour |
|---|---|---|
Base scenario | Whole population | No change |
0 % prevalence <30 years | 25-29 year age groups | All smokers in targeted age group quit |
10 % prevalence <30 years | 25-29 year age groups | Prevalence reduced to 10 % for both men and women aged <30 years |
0 % prevalence <40 years | 25-39 year age groups | All smokers in targeted age group quit |
10 % prevalence <40 years | 25-39 year age groups | Prevalence reduced to 10 % for both men and women aged <40 years |
0 % prevalence <50 years | 25-49 year age groups | All smokers in targeted age group quit |
10 % prevalence <50 years | 25-49 year age groups | Prevalence reduced to 10 % for both men and women aged <50 years |
0 % prevalence <60 years | 25-59 year age groups | All smokers in targeted age group quit |
10 % prevalence <60 years | 25-59 year age groups | Prevalence reduced to 10 % for both men and women aged <60 years |
0 % prevalence <70 years | 25-69 year age groups | All smokers in targeted age group quit |
10 % prevalence <70 years | 25-69 year age groups | Prevalence reduced to 10 % for both men and women aged <70 years |
0 % prevalence <80 years | 25-79 year age groups | All smokers in targeted age group quit |
10 % prevalence <80 years | 25-79 year age groups | Prevalence reduced to 10 % for both men and women aged <80 years |
10 % prevalence in entire population | Whole population | Prevalence randomly reduced to 10 % for both men and women |
0 % prevalence in entire population | Whole population | All smokers quit |