Modelling the consequences of a reduction in alcohol consumption among patients with alcohol dependence based on real-life observational data

Table 3 Number of events per 100,000 patient-years by TAC category^a

TAC per year (×1000 g)	Ischemic heart disease	Ischemic stroke	Traffic injuries	Other injuries	Cirrhosis	Pancreatitis	Pneumonia	Hemorrhagic stroke	Total
<15	1173	383	42	853	150	95	1516	106	4318
15–18	1796	584	301	3401	329	139	1825	149	8524
18–21	1964	639	368	4025	377	158	1885	162	9578
21–24	2070	676	459	4471	431	189	1947	175	10418
24–27	2080	685	590	4661	520	282	2072	193	11083
27–30	2179	723	680	5158	605	390	2175	210	12120
30–33	2273	750	741	5527	683	491	2239	228	12932
33–36	2357	752	768	5663	772	656	2293	267	13528
36–39	2384	757	819	5789	884	876	2362	304	14175
>39	2483	812	1170	7031	3173	8224	3551	817	27261

^aOut of the 200,000 patients simulated, 84.4 % had a TAC below 15,000 g/year, 10.8 % had a TAC between 15,000 and 39,000 g/year, and 4.6 % had more than 39,000 g/year. For each TAC group of patients, the probabilities of events for each patient were summed over 12 months, and this sum was transformed to represent the number of events per 100,000 individuals

ISSN: 1471-2458