Table 3 Over-dispersion for the calibration period and the validation period, by group of temperature indicators
From: A predictive model relating daily fluctuations in summer temperatures and mortality rates
Over-dispersion | |||
|---|---|---|---|
Group excluded from the full model | Number of temperature variables | Calibration period 1975–2002 | Validation period 2003 |
Full model | 29 | 2.10 | 3.67 |
- G1 t-5 | 28 | 2.10 | 3.67 |
- G1 t-1 | 27 | 2.10 | 3.67 |
- GCUM2' | 26 | 2.10 | 3.32 |
- G1 t | 25 | 2.10 | 3.36 |
- GCUM1 t-4 | 24 | 2.10 | 3.36 |
- G2' | 22 | 2.10 | 3.33 |
- GCUM1 t-3 | 21 | 2.10 | 3.39 |
- GCUM2 | 20 | 2.10 | 3.34 |
- G1 t-4 | 18 | 2.11 | 3.33 |
- G1 t-3 | 16 | 2.11 | 3.33 |
- GCUM1 t-5 | 14 | 2.11 | 3.51 |
- GCUM1 t-1 | 12 | 2.12 | 4.55 |
- G1 t-2 | 10 | 2.13 | 4.28 |
- GCUM1 t-2 | 7 | 2.22 | 13.61 |
- GCUM1 t | 4 | 2.73 | 67.49 |
- GMA | 3 | 3.14 | 59.97 |
- G2 (= model M 0 ) | 0 | 5.64 | 133.71 |